Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:23:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe7b6…1535 crypto 936 markets active 1h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (199 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$286 (+2%) realized +$286 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate41%505W / 726L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day199.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$840
7 days−$636
14 days−$506
30 days−$506
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$751
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (199 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-32.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 682 -50.4% -55.2% 27% 17% -24.5%
≤30d 1231 -25.9% -32.9% 41% 26% -13.3%
≤90d 1231 -25.9% -32.9% 41% 26% -13.3%
all 1231 -25.9% -32.9% 41% 26% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover199.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.9% 26% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -39.3% 19% -21.6%
15% -45.2% 14% -29.2%
20% -50.6% 10% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
34% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -56% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$4 · ×1.21 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$286
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses505 / 726
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1231 / 936
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day199.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1231 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records