Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:27:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7b2…6a58
sports · 178 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$126 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$136 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$89
Realized+$136
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses94 / 76
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions8
Markets (closed)170 / 178
History coverage59d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 8 History 170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$55
7 days+$122
14 days+$151
30 days+$151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Over 54¢ 52¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-3%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Over 60¢ 60¢ $16 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ 60¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+4%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Over 56¢ 56¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 57¢ 57¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 67¢ 65¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Over 48¢ 44¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 54¢ 14¢ $11 $3 −$8 (-75%)
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Duckworth (-1.5) vs Dedura-Palomero (+1.5) Dedura-Palomero 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Toronto Blue Jays 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Curtea de Arges: Matei Florin Breazu vs Julio Cesar Porras Julio Cesar Porras 66¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Gauthier Onclin 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians Baltimore Orioles 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Zsombor Piros 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Alexander Vasilev 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $28 +$29 +104%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $7 +$10 +152%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $10 +$9 +89%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $16 +$13 +83%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $26 +$19 +71%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $16 +$11 +67%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $11 +$7 +70%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Patrik Meszaros vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez Jun 12 $15 +$5 +32%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $11 +$9 +90%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 11 $11 −$11 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $10 +$8 +76%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $14 +$9 +65%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $10 +$9 +83%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $11 +$12 +119%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $11 −$10 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $10 +$11 +101%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $8 +$7 +83%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $11 +$8 +79%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $14 +$9 +70%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $13 +$9 +70%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 10 $31 −$31 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $13 +$9 +70%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $5 +$11 +206%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $11 −$10 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Matei Florin Breazu vs Julio Cesar Porras Jun 10 $15 −$15 -99%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Leo Vithoontien Jun 10 $16 +$7 +48%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $11 +$8 +79%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $11 +$7 +70%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $11 +$9 +86%
ITF Los Angeles: Christopher Papa vs Justin Roberts Jun 10 $10 −$2 -18%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $21 +$15 +69%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $21 +$15 +72%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$131
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 67¢ $4 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 67¢ $2 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 56¢ $11 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 67¢ $4 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $11 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 60¢ $16 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 48¢ $10 3h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 57¢ $10 3h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 54¢ $10 4h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 54¢ $10 4h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 48¢ $2 4h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 48¢ $10 4h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 53¢ $20 4h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $11 6h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 49¢ $15 7h
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 50¢ $2 18h
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 50¢ $3 18h
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 50¢ $6 18h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 54¢ $16 18h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 53¢ $10 21h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 58¢ $16 25h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 59¢ $16 25h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 55¢ $13 26h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 63¢ $10 26h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 51¢ $10 26h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 52¢ $10 26h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 57¢ $10 27h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 39¢ $7 27h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 60¢ $15 28h
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Patrik Meszaros vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez BUY Oscar Jose Gutierrez 75¢ $15 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +6.9% -3.3% 57% 56% -0.6%
≤30d 165 +6.8% -3.3% 56% 56% -2.2%
≤90d 170 +5.5% -4.6% 55% 55% -3.1%
all 170 +5.5% -4.6% 55% 55% -3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.6% 55% -3.1%
10% -13.7% 55% -12.4%
15% -22.1% 54% -20.8%
20% -29.7% 52% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88.78 · official $89.13 (match) · 301 history records