Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T07:52:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe7ab…3ca9 crypto 85 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (147 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$86 (+2%) realized +$86 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR67%break-even
Win rate79%67W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$52per market
Trades / day147.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (147 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 +0.6% -9.0% 79% 67% -9.7%
≤30d 85 +0.6% -9.0% 79% 67% -9.7%
≤90d 85 +0.6% -9.0% 79% 67% -9.7%
all 85 +0.6% -9.0% 79% 67% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover147.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 67% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 40% -18.3%
15% -25.6% 15% -26.2%
20% -32.9% 11% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$41 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses67 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)85 / 85
History coverage1d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day147.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 85 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$5 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $132 +$34 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 27 $318 +$14 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 27 $143 +$68 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $321 −$321 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $344 +$82 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $201 +$14 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 27 $141 +$20 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $317 +$28 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $41 +$12 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$10 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$17 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$5 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 27 $231 +$26 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$5 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 27 $242 +$34 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $16 +$16 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$26 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$3 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 27 $15 +$5 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 27 $15 +$4 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $15 +$9 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $57 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $115 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 26 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 26 $40 +$4 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 26 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 26 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 26 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $116 +$15 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $41 +$16 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 26 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 26 $15 +$4 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $101 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $196 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $135 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $102 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $104 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $101 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $101 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 278 history records