trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +7.5% | -2.7% | 48% | 48% | +0.2% |
| ≤30d | 39 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 46% | 46% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 196 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 56% | 53% | -15.6% |
| all | 238 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 57% | 51% | -17.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.1% | 51% | -17.8% |
| 10% | -23.2% | 42% | -25.7% |
| 15% | -30.7% | 32% | -32.9% |
| 20% | -37.5% | 21% | -39.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 13¢ | $200 | $265 | +$65 (+32%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $300 | $247 | −$53 (-18%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $200 | $225 | +$25 (+13%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $200 | $161 | −$39 (-19%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Qatar? | Yes | 10¢ | 1¢ | $50 | $3 | −$47 (-94%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $303 | +$173 | +57% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $203 | +$92 | +45% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$15 | -48% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$25 | -80% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 2 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$145 | +282% |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$4 | +199% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $303 | +$145 | +48% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $712 | −$700 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $173 | −$170 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $305 | −$300 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $305 | +$321 | +105% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $204 | +$440 | +216% |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $103 | −$101 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $62 | +$26 | +42% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $256 | +$213 | +83% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $255 | −$194 | -76% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $256 | +$404 | +158% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $605 | +$252 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $336 | +$127 | +38% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $1,287 | +$564 | +44% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Jun 08 | $164 | −$160 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Jun 08 | $154 | −$150 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $1,182 | −$85 | -7% |
| Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5 | Jun 05 | $254 | −$250 | -98% |
| Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? | Jun 05 | $253 | −$250 | -99% |
| Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5 | Jun 05 | $201 | +$49 | +24% |
| Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? | Jun 05 | $253 | +$166 | +66% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $265 | +$210 | +79% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $1,114 | +$40 | +4% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $448 | −$440 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $23 | −$23 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $13 | +$10 | +76% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $160 | −$157 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $168 | −$95 | -57% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $341 | −$150 | -44% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $61 | +$120 | +197% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $355 | +$61 | +17% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 12 | $364 | −$160 | -44% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $204 | +$85 | +42% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $101 | +$28 | +28% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 09 | $71 | +$38 | +54% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $82 | +$14 | +18% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $122 | +$44 | +36% |