Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:24:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe79f…4e73 crypto 336 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (1542 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$42 (-1%) realized −$42 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate58%194W / 142L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day1542.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$239
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1542 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 280 -5.1% -14.1% 55% 48% -14.2%
≤30d 336 -2.1% -11.4% 58% 51% -13.5%
≤90d 336 -2.1% -11.4% 58% 51% -13.5%
all 336 -2.1% -11.4% 58% 51% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1542.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 51% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 36% -21.8%
15% -27.6% 23% -29.4%
20% -34.7% 12% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$8 · ×0.57 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses194 / 142
Open positions0
Markets (closed)336 / 336
History coverage1d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day1542.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 336 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $49 −$45 -91%
Bitcoin above 61,000 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $28 −$24 -86%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $44 +$12 +27%
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $17 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $23 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$5 -52%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $51 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -88%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $32 +$4 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $46 +$58 +126%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $21 +$24 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$15 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +208%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$5 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$46 +88%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$14 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$8 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$21 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$11 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$8 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $51 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$12 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$8 -31%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$4 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$7 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$9 -18%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $32 −$10 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $3 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $36 6d
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 99¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 99¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 99¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 99¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 99¢ $21 6d
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 99¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 99¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL Yes 99¢ $4 6d
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 99¢ $21 6d
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL Yes 99¢ $11 6d
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 95¢ $11 6d
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 99¢ $11 6d
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 95¢ $3 6d
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 95¢ $11 6d
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL No 95¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $54 6d
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 10AM ET? SELL Yes 95¢ $29 6d
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 92¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 89¢ $5 6d
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 10, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 80¢ $9 6d
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 10, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 80¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 89¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1862 history records