Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe78f…04a4
crypto · 1417 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,496 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,496 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,496
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses988 / 529
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1517 / 1417
History coverage38d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1517 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,120
7 days−$2,359
14 days−$2,547
30 days−$3,927
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$19 -256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$1,686
other 1% −$2
sports 1% +$324
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $22 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 382 -30.9% -37.5% 52% 39% -53.7%
≤30d 1197 -16.4% -24.3% 63% 43% -31.2%
≤90d 1517 -13.4% -21.6% 65% 44% -23.5%
all 1517 -13.4% -21.6% 65% 44% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.6% 44% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -29.1% 30% -30.8%
15% -36.0% 19% -37.5%
20% -42.2% 12% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records