Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:59:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe786…ef9d crypto 1547 markets active 3d ago coverage 39d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d only
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$207 (-8%) realized −$207 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate45%808W / 999L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day76.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$368
7 days−$403
14 days−$371
30 days−$367
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$120
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 563 -54.5% -58.8% 24% 22% -54.6%
≤30d 1030 -28.1% -34.9% 38% 36% -31.7%
≤90d 1807 -19.3% -27.0% 45% 41% -23.9%
all 1807 -19.3% -27.0% 45% 41% -23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover76.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.0% 41% -23.9%
10% ← realistic here -34.0% 36% -31.2%
15% -40.4% 31% -37.9%
20% -46.2% 27% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -31% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$207
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses808 / 999
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1807 / 1547
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day76.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1807 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records