Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:12:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe77d…caf1
crypto · 743 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$190 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$190 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$190
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses518 / 223
Open positions1
Markets (closed)741 / 743
History coverage38d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day24.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 741 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Truist Championship? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$20 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$126
other 1% −$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -10.5% -19.1% 66% 46% -14.2%
≤30d 191 -6.0% -15.0% 72% 43% -15.7%
≤90d 741 -6.6% -15.5% 70% 44% -12.5%
all 741 -6.6% -15.5% 70% 44% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 44% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 28% -20.9%
15% -31.0% 20% -28.5%
20% -37.7% 14% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.00 · official $1.00 (match) · 1635 history records