trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +22.6% | +10.9% | 83% | 58% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +22.6% | +10.9% | 83% | 58% | -6.9% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +22.6% | +10.9% | 83% | 58% | -6.9% |
| all | 12 | +22.6% | +10.9% | 83% | 58% | -6.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.9% | 58% | -6.9% |
| 10% | +0.3% | 58% | -15.8% |
| 15% | -9.4% | 50% | -24.0% |
| 20% | -18.3% | 33% | -31.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | Up | 85¢ | 84¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | Yes | 44¢ | 46¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 90¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 92¢ | 95¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 96¢ | 96¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 18? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will "absi" be the most watched Kick streamer in June? | Yes | 67¢ | 54¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-20%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 18? | Yes | 52¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-53%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3AM ET | Jun 18 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$2 | +33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Jun 18 | $5 | +$2 | +36% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$4 | +36% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June | Jun 18 | $10 | +$7 | +72% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$7 | +137% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$4 | +73% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17? | Jun 17 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$8 | +83% |
| SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | +0% |