Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T18:28:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E7 0xe77a…3e8d crypto 1783 markets active 1h ago coverage 41d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d only
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$237 (+2%) realized +$237 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate52%932W / 867L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day66.6pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$978
7 days−$786
14 days−$783
30 days−$968
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$31
other 2% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 335 -31.9% -38.4% 26% 24% -29.7%
≤30d 1294 -2.5% -11.8% 49% 48% -16.4%
≤90d 1799 -3.3% -12.5% 52% 51% -16.3%
all 1799 -3.3% -12.5% 52% 51% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 51% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 50% -24.3%
15% -28.5% 46% -31.6%
20% -35.5% 38% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$8 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$237
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses932 / 867
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1799 / 1783
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day66.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1799 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 22 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 22 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 22 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records