Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:16:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E7 0xe775…0a29 crypto 1629 markets active 0h ago coverage 119d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 119d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$13 (+0%) realized +$13 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate89%1448W / 182L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day15.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$10
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5
sports 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 514 +1.0% -8.6% 89% 36% -7.3%
≤30d 578 +0.2% -9.4% 89% 35% -8.2%
≤90d 855 -0.1% -9.6% 88% 52% -8.8%
all 1630 +0.0% -9.5% 89% 30% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 30% -9.3%
10% -18.2% 1% -18.0%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 0% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
63% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

119d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1448 / 182
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1630 / 1629
History coverage119d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1630 Trades
no open positions (76 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records