trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +733.3% | +654.0% | 100% | 100% | +654.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +216.4% | +186.2% | 67% | 67% | +235.0% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -8.9% | -17.5% | 40% | 40% | -25.1% |
| all | 25 | +2.6% | -7.1% | 52% | 52% | -12.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.1% | 52% | -12.6% |
| 10% | -16.0% | 28% | -21.0% |
| 15% | -24.1% | 20% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 20% | -35.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $60 | $60 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 15 | $9 | +$66 | +733% |
| Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $9 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 17 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | May 08 | $28 | +$5 | +19% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 08 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 23 | $12 | +$3 | +28% |
| Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Apr 18 | $31 | +$7 | +22% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Apr 18 | $20 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Apr 08 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | Apr 02 | $8 | +$8 | +96% |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to Mar | Apr 02 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Mar 28 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29? | Mar 28 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Hornets | Mar 28 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Pistons | Mar 28 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Wizards | Mar 28 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Blackhawks | Mar 26 | $15 | +$13 | +92% |
| Warriors vs. Celtics | Mar 22 | $14 | +$2 | +16% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nets | Mar 18 | $10 | +$11 | +113% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Mar 09 | $12 | +$2 | +18% |
| Rockets vs. Knicks | Feb 23 | $26 | +$18 | +67% |
| Pacers vs. Raptors | Feb 18 | $12 | +$4 | +30% |