Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:26:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe76d…fc5a
crypto · 253 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$102 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$102 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$102
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses135 / 118
Open positions0
Markets (closed)253 / 253
History coverage174d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 253 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 17 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 17 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 17 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 16 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 15 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 15 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 15 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 15 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 15 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 14 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 13 $1 +$2 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 13 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 13 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 13 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 10 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 10 $2 −$1 -57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$106
other 2% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -38.1% -44.0% 33% 8% -20.3%
≤30d 39 -45.8% -50.9% 33% 21% -29.8%
≤90d 237 -20.8% -28.3% 50% 36% -19.3%
all 253 -19.1% -26.8% 53% 34% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.8% 34% -17.9%
10% -33.8% 27% -25.7%
15% -40.2% 20% -32.9%
20% -46.1% 12% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 726 history records