Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:56:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe76d…bf3e crypto 408 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1250 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,274 (-6%) realized −$1,274 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate90%368W / 43L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$55per market
Trades / day1249.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1250 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 411 -0.4% -9.9% 90% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 411 -0.4% -9.9% 90% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 411 -0.4% -9.9% 90% 0% -9.9%
all 411 -0.4% -9.9% 90% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1249.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$10 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,274
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses368 / 43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)411 / 408
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$55
Trades / day1249.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 411 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $51 −$11 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $78 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $78 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $47 −$7 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $93 −$13 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$12 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$12 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $83 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $118 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $32 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $14 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $18 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records