Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T05:37:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe769…c235 sports 79 markets active 2h ago coverage 6d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$11 (-0%) realized −$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate73%58W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day32.4pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit62%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 42% +$16
sports 34% +$79
crypto 16% −$90
world 5% −$27
finance 3% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -6.4% -15.3% 73% 27% -10.1%
≤30d 79 -6.4% -15.3% 73% 27% -10.1%
≤90d 79 -6.4% -15.3% 73% 27% -10.1%
all 79 -6.4% -15.3% 73% 27% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 27% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 10% -18.7%
15% -30.8% 10% -26.6%
20% -37.6% 3% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$12 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses58 / 21
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)79 / 79
History coverage6d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day32.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 79 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $94 +$6 +6%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5 Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5 Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $7 +$3 +40%
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $18 −$5 -26%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $20 $0 +0%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $18 +$2 +8%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 17 $60 +$3 +6%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $19 +$1 +4%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $19 +$1 +7%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $37 +$3 +7%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $23 −$21 -91%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $16 +$2 +16%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $99 +$20 +21%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $37 +$3 +9%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $19 +$1 +7%
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals Jun 17 $84 +$12 +14%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $139 +$1 +0%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $14 +$6 +46%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $34 +$6 +16%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $64 +$6 +9%
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 16 $26 +$4 +16%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics Jun 16 $10 +$5 +47%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $66 +$14 +20%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 Jun 16 $55 −$7 -12%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $36 +$4 +12%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $6 +$4 +65%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $28 +$2 +8%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $7 −$7 -99%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $4 +$1 +13%
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $49 +$1 +2%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $23 −$18 -80%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $20 −$16 -79%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $10 +$5 +46%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $9 +$1 +6%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $100 +$10 +10%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car Jun 15 $41 +$29 +71%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 15 $73 −$41 -56%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $42 +$3 +8%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $13 −$12 -98%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $28 +$2 +6%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $58 +$2 +3%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 94¢ $94 1h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 96¢ $5 3h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 99¢ $20 3h
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 67¢ $13 5h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 7h
England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 100¢ $50 7h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 99¢ $26 7h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 99¢ $24 7h
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $18 7h
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 71¢ $7 7h
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? BUY Yes 97¢ $40 10h
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? BUY Yes 90¢ $20 10h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 7¢ $2 10h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 96¢ $19 10h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 93¢ $19 11h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 64¢ $6 11h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 92¢ $9 12h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 91¢ $18 12h
England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $18 12h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $8 13h
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 93¢ $37 13h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 78¢ $16 13h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 98¢ $4 27h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 98¢ $63 27h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 82¢ $8 27h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 96¢ $19 27h
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 95¢ $11 28h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 28h
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 97¢ $10 28h
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 95¢ $8 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 262 history records