Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe765…e662
sports · 12 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$157 +60%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$158 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$34
Realized+$158
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses5 / 2
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions5
Markets (closed)7 / 12
History coverage4d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 5 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$158
14 days+$158
30 days+$158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 81¢ 100¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+23%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Hurricanes 51¢ 52¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 48¢ 48¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 80¢ 76¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Under 56¢ 40¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-29%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $7 +$7 +97%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $7 +$10 +134%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 +$10 +69%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $182 +$138 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$147
other 5% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 80¢ $7 58m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 50¢ $7 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 42¢ $7 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 56¢ $6 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 81¢ $7 2h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 48¢ $7 3h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 52¢ $6 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 59¢ $7 8h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 58¢ $7 8h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 51¢ $7 28h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 51¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 57¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 56¢ $5 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY No 57¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)+25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +38.4% +25.2% 71% 71% +53.3%
≤30d 7 +38.4% +25.2% 71% 71% +53.3%
≤90d 7 +38.4% +25.2% 71% 71% +53.3%
all 7 +38.4% +25.2% 71% 71% +53.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +25.2% 71% +53.3%
10% +13.2% 71% +38.6%
15% +2.3% 71% +25.2%
20% -7.7% 71% +13.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.67 · official $33.68 (match) · 55 history records