Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T12:11:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
E7 0xe763…8e0f crypto 96 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$31 (+14%) realized +$31 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate51%49W / 47L
Drawdown39%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day46.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 +7.9% -2.4% 51% 51% +1.4%
≤30d 96 +7.9% -2.4% 51% 51% +1.4%
≤90d 96 +7.9% -2.4% 51% 51% +1.4%
all 96 +7.9% -2.4% 51% 51% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover46.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.4% 51% +1.4%
10% ← realistic here -11.7% 51% -8.3%
15% -20.2% 51% -17.1%
20% -28.1% 51% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +12% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt +12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.21 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.27 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses49 / 47
Open positions0
Markets (closed)96 / 96
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day46.0
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 96 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 157 history records