Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:11:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe75c…3ed4
sports · 22 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$125 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$125 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$40
Realized+$125
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses13 / 8
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)21 / 22
History coverage36d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 1 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$41
30 days+$125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Sunrisers Hyderabad 51¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians Punjab Kings 65¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders Delhi Capitals 52¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Rajasthan Royals 53¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 56¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 11¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals Punjab Kings 58¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals Rajasthan Royals 22¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $296 +$36 +12%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $30 −$4 -14%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $211 +$35 +17%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals - Who w May 27 $1 +$1 +97%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $5 −$5 -97%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $201 +$32 +16%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 23 $30 +$17 +55%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $10 +$8 +76%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $15 +$13 +86%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 17 $23 −$2 -8%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 14 $24 −$10 -41%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R May 13 $20 +$13 +64%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals May 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians May 10 $5 +$2 +40%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants May 10 $5 +$4 +79%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans May 10 $5 +$6 +114%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders May 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$124
other 6% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $40 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 9h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 9h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 56¢ $10 10h
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans SELL Royal Challengers Bengaluru 99¢ $329 12d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 89¢ $251 12d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans SELL Gujarat Titans 11¢ $3 12d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 47¢ $15 12d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 58¢ $30 12d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Rajasthan Royals 63¢ $26 14d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 54¢ $10 14d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 53¢ $20 14d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Rajasthan Royals 100¢ $244 16d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Sunrisers Hyderabad 17¢ $3 16d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 82¢ $201 16d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 56¢ $10 16d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals - Who w BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 50¢ $1 16d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 11¢ $5 17d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 86¢ $201 19d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings BUY Punjab Kings 64¢ $30 20d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants SELL Rajasthan Royals 100¢ $18 24d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Rajasthan Royals 56¢ $10 24d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad SELL Sunrisers Hyderabad 100¢ $28 25d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 48¢ $5 25d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 56¢ $10 25d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 22¢ $3 26d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Rajasthan Royals 72¢ $21 26d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 68¢ $20 26d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians SELL Mumbai Indians 29¢ $2 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +28.5% +16.2% 67% 67% +8.2%
≤30d 14 +9.4% -1.0% 64% 64% +4.4%
≤90d 21 +6.1% -4.0% 62% 62% +3.4%
all 21 +6.1% -4.0% 62% 62% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.0% 62% +3.4%
10% -13.2% 48% -6.5%
15% -21.5% 48% -15.5%
20% -29.2% 43% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.66 · official $39.66 (match) · 51 history records