trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -25.0% | -32.1% | 50% | 50% | -15.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -10.1% | -18.7% | 80% | 20% | -21.4% |
| all | 14 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 86% | 14% | -20.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 14% | -20.6% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 14% | -28.2% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 14% | -35.1% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -41.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | No | 62¢ | 62¢ | $380 | $377 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $257 | +$129 | +50% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $157 | −$155 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $141 | +$59 | +42% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $60? | May 19 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Bill Clinton charged by March 31? | May 19 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 mil | May 19 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in Febru | May 19 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | May 19 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | May 19 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 16 | $135 | −$132 | -98% |
| Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by January 31? | Feb 05 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $170 end of January? | Feb 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 10? | Feb 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31? | Jan 10 | $21 | $0 | +0% |