Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:06:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe73e…dca3
other · 252 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$89 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses14 / 238
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)252 / 252
History coverage129d
Avg bet$217
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 252 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$15
14 days−$30
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $61 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $240 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $288 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $389 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $459 −$2 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $43 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $245 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $386 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $286 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $309 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $137 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $405 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $325 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $416 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $369 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $64 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 08 $266 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $166 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $246 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $219 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $217 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $302 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $244 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $295 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $152 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $335 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $820 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 05 $613 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $871 −$3 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $596 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $372 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $589 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $326 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $253 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 03 $66 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $542 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $584 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $407 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $498 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $372 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 01 $479 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $319 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $492 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $68 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $220 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $216 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? May 31 $315 −$1 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 30 $236 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $163 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $230 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$39
sports 25% −$24
politics 9% −$9
economics 7% −$7
culture 5% −$5
crypto 4% −$4
world 4% +$1
tech 2% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $61 17m
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $61 1h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 3h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $62 5h
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $62 9h
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $62 11h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $62 13h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $62 14h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $29 18h
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $33 19h
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $33 21h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $10 21h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $24 23h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $62 25h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $62 26h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $62 27h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 33h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $62 35h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $62 40h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $62 42h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $62 43h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $62 44h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 46h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $62 47h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $63 2d
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $63 2d
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $63 2d
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $63 2d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 2d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $63 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 69 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 184 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
all 252 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1339 history records