Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:07:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe73b…36bb
crypto · 64 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,943 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,943 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,943
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses54 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage47d
Avg bet$114
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$221
7 days+$221
14 days+$221
30 days−$1,006
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Yes 85¢ 0¢ $790 $0 −$790 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$13 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$10 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$31 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $61 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$36 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$26 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $141 −$30 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$15 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$29 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$14 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $114 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $90 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$3 +7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $82 +$16 +20%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $33 −$25 -76%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $76 +$31 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$1,979
crypto 43% +$14
politics 12% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $51 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +7.4% -2.8% 88% 44% -2.2%
≤30d 55 +3.5% -6.4% 85% 40% -30.1%
≤90d 64 +2.3% -7.4% 84% 39% -33.6%
all 64 +2.3% -7.4% 84% 39% -33.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 39% -33.6%
10% -16.3% 22% -39.9%
15% -24.4% 14% -45.7%
20% -31.8% 8% -51.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 197 history records