Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe738…2232
crypto · 17 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses8 / 8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)16 / 17
Avg bet$3
Trades / day62.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$7
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -11.4% -19.9% 50% 44% -20.4%
≤30d 16 -11.4% -19.9% 50% 44% -20.4%
≤90d 16 -11.4% -19.9% 50% 44% -20.4%
all 16 -11.4% -19.9% 50% 44% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 44% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 19% -28.0%
15% -34.5% 6% -35.0%
20% -41.0% 6% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $0.98 (match) · 65 history records