Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:16:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe736…9d9f
crypto · 913 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,052 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,018 · open −$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,027
Realized−$1,018
Unrealized−$33
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses433 / 474
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$223
Open positions6
Markets (closed)907 / 913
Avg bet$80
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 6 History 907 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,116
7 days+$2,087
14 days+$1,790
30 days+$1,172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $300 $297 −$3 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $300 $296 −$4 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $200 $199 −$1 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No 32¢ 26¢ $110 $87 −$23 (-20%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No 13¢ 12¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Giravanz Kitakyūshū win on 2026-05-24? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-19? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Athletics 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-19? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-05-24? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $116 −$90 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$30 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $152 +$32 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$26 +17%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $102 +$27 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $204 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$23 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$29 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $52 +$70 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$75 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$22 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$48 +94%
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day Jun 12 $51 −$6 -12%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $296 +$188 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$10 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$11 +36%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 11 $61 −$51 -83%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 11 $51 −$37 -74%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants Jun 11 $51 −$32 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $1,012 +$202 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $1,017 +$314 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $1,014 +$212 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $1,326 +$20 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $1,008 +$112 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $710 +$193 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $513 +$281 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $510 +$182 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $207 +$197 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $311 −$100 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $204 +$31 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $153 +$63 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $152 +$24 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $103 +$61 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $82 +$40 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $71 +$19 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$36 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $61 −$41 -67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% +$201
sports 15% −$1,107
other 2% +$115
weather 1% −$208
tech 0% −$31
finance 0% −$38
politics 0% +$28
world 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $103 2h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $103 2h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $103 2h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $102 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $184 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $101 2h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 67¢ $129 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $25 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +4.2% -5.7% 65% 58% +7.8%
≤30d 531 -9.7% -18.3% 44% 38% -3.4%
≤90d 820 -7.1% -16.0% 44% 37% -9.3%
all 907 -5.7% -14.7% 48% 39% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 39% -10.8%
10% -22.8% 33% -19.3%
15% -30.3% 27% -27.1%
20% -37.1% 20% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,027.11 · official $1,028.83 (match) · 2413 history records