Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:16:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe71e…f9de
crypto · 466 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$1,464 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,464 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,464
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses134 / 331
Open positions1
Markets (closed)465 / 466
Avg bet$16
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 465 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$51
14 days−$95
30 days−$333
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 08 $13 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 07 $21 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 01 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 01 $6 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 01 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 01 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 31 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 31 $6 +$3 +41%
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 May 31 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representati May 31 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 30 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 30 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 30 $17 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 30 $10 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 30 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 30 $16 +$15 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 30 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 30 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 30 $19 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 30 $6 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 30 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 30 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 30 $12 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 30 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,448
politics 0% −$16
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -40.2% -45.9% 33% 33% -48.6%
≤30d 257 -3.5% -12.7% 32% 30% -27.1%
≤90d 421 -14.4% -22.6% 31% 29% -36.0%
all 465 -14.8% -22.9% 29% 27% -33.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.9% 27% -33.2%
10% -30.3% 26% -39.6%
15% -37.0% 23% -45.5%
20% -43.2% 21% -50.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.62 · official $1.62 (match) · 1478 history records