Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:20:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe71c…79ae
crypto · 1142 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33,113 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45,021 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$45,021
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses877 / 523
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1400 / 1142
History coverage10d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day250.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47,093
7 days−$45,217
14 days−$45,021
30 days−$45,021
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 62¢ 98¢ $15 $23 +$9 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 47¢ 2¢ $16 $1 −$16 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $242 $0 −$242 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $198 −$198 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$11 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $195 −$195 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $145 −$145 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $242 −$242 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $425 −$425 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $328 −$328 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $197 −$197 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $133 −$133 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $198 −$198 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $198 −$198 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,044
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $15 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $15 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-25.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 936 -27.7% -34.5% 46% 34% -72.8%
≤30d 1400 -17.9% -25.8% 63% 24% -37.9%
≤90d 1400 -17.9% -25.8% 63% 24% -37.9%
all 1400 -17.9% -25.8% 63% 24% -37.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover250.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.8% 24% -37.9%
10% ← realistic here -32.9% 21% -43.9%
15% -39.4% 17% -49.3%
20% -45.3% 10% -54.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.97 · official $24.74 (match) · 3500 history records