Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T06:39:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
E7 0xe715…4300 crypto 39 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$146 (+5%) realized +$146 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%39W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$76per market
Trades / day20.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$152
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +4.7% -5.3% 100% 0% -4.9%
≤30d 39 +4.7% -5.3% 100% 0% -4.9%
≤90d 39 +4.7% -5.3% 100% 0% -4.9%
all 39 +4.7% -5.3% 100% 0% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.3% 0% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 0% -14.0%
15% -22.6% 0% -22.3%
20% -30.2% 0% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +6% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$146
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses39 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage3d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day20.3
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 39 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 23 $91 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 23 $91 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $125 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $46 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $122 +$11 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $129 +$12 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $142 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $47 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 22 $69 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $45 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $144 +$10 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $79 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $71 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $92 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $62 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $37 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 22 $119 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 22 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 22 $73 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 22 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 22 $23 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 22 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $37 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 22 $61 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 22 $65 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 22 $86 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 21 $197 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $59 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 21 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 21 $167 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 20 $63 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 20 $184 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 20 $128 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $119 +$11 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $91 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $26 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $125 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $109 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $129 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $142 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $47 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $69 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $45 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $64 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $56 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $79 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $71 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $92 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $62 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $37 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $119 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $28 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $32 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 102 history records