Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:45:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe712…9a10
weather · 984 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,278 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,319 · open +$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$818
Realized−$1,319
Unrealized+$42
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses687 / 512
Open positions19
Markets (closed)1199 / 984
History coverage51d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day55.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 19 History 1199 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,457
7 days−$2,989
14 days−$2,238
30 days−$1,649
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? No 83¢ 100¢ $166 $200 +$34 (+21%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? Yes 93¢ 100¢ $128 $138 +$9 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 14? No 94¢ 94¢ $41 $41 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 15? No 93¢ 98¢ $37 $39 +$2 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 13? No 94¢ 97¢ $38 $39 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 14? No 95¢ 94¢ $38 $38 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14? No 94¢ 94¢ $38 $38 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 94¢ 91¢ $38 $37 −$1 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 13? No 93¢ 98¢ $28 $29 +$2 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 15? No 93¢ 98¢ $28 $29 +$1 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 13? No 94¢ 98¢ $28 $29 +$1 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? No 95¢ 95¢ $28 $29 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 14? No 95¢ 92¢ $28 $28 −$1 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 15? No 96¢ 99¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14? No 85¢ 82¢ $26 $25 −$1 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 15? No 96¢ 98¢ $22 $22 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 15? No 95¢ 99¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13? No 91¢ 100¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? No 12¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-97%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 3? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 11? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 21? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 27? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 28? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 11? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 11? Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 27? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 28? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 11? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 28? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 11? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 12 Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 11? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 8? Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 15? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 3? Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 26? Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 29? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 20? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15? Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 21? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 19? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 7? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on April 7? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 3? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on April 1? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on April 4? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 29 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 15? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 10? Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 6? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 9? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 21? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 7? Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 4? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 7? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 3? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on March 26? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 27? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10? Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or higher on April 7? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 29? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 10 Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 29 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 5? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or higher on April 15? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -80%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 10? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 16 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 7? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 26? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$2,397
world 0% −$41
crypto 0% −$2
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 98¢ $88 43m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14? BUY No 85¢ $26 47m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 90¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 91¢ $27 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 85¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 75¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 75¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 74¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 25¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 20¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 22¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $50 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 27¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 73¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 31¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 73¢ $33 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 77¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 75¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 77¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 79¢ $29 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 22¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 27¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 90¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 75¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 77¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 76¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 77¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 90¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 90¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-27.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 386 -60.4% -64.1% 30% 15% -37.8%
≤30d 875 -25.4% -32.5% 55% 29% -15.8%
≤90d 1199 -20.2% -27.8% 57% 28% -13.5%
all 1199 -20.2% -27.8% 57% 28% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.8% 28% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -34.7% 14% -21.8%
15% -41.0% 9% -29.3%
20% -46.8% 6% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $818.33 · official $820.73 (match) · 3500 history records