Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:26:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe70d…924c crypto 550 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1086 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$354 (-7%) realized −$356 · open +$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -41% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -55% what you keep after slip
Net edge-55%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate39%216W / 333L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day1086.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$312
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1086 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-46.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 549 -41.1% -46.7% 39% 27% -16.2%
≤30d 549 -41.1% -46.7% 39% 27% -16.2%
≤90d 549 -41.1% -46.7% 39% 27% -16.2%
all 549 -41.1% -46.7% 39% 27% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1086.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.7% 27% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -51.8% 17% -24.2%
15% -56.4% 9% -31.5%
20% -60.7% 7% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -41% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -33% → late -49% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$5 · ×1.24 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$356
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses216 / 333
Open positions1
Markets (closed)549 / 550
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1086.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 549 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 1¢ 2¢ $1 $2 +$2 (+150%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 6 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$9 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $47 +$36 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $23 −$20 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $34 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$4 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $13 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$7 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$9 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $6 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.50 · official $4.50 · 3500 history records