Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:27:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe703…21d2
crypto · 1789 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,038 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,038 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$1,038
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1713 / 187
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1900 / 1789
History coverage7d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day246.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1900 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,011
7 days−$1,084
14 days−$1,038
30 days−$1,038
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1805 -6.3% -15.3% 90% 7% -16.4%
≤30d 1900 -5.8% -14.8% 90% 7% -15.7%
≤90d 1900 -5.8% -14.8% 90% 7% -15.7%
all 1900 -5.8% -14.8% 90% 7% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover246.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 7% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 1% -23.7%
15% -30.4% 0% -31.1%
20% -37.2% 0% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.85 · official $33.25 (match) · 3500 history records