Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6fa…aeec
politics · 120 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
+$2,783 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,783 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,783
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses35 / 85
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)120 / 120
Avg bet$633
Trades / day121.9
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 0 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days+$2,461
14 days+$2,799
30 days+$2,783
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 12 $3,852 +$17 +0%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Jun 11 $68 −$1 -1%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $66 −$58 -88%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026? Jun 11 $22 −$6 -29%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 10 $2 $0 -5%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 10 $2 $0 -5%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 10 $3 −$1 -41%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 10 $2 −$1 -53%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $420 −$27 -6%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $66 +$3 +4%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026? Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $30 +$25 +85%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $30 $0 -0%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026? Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $5 $0 -4%
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10? Jun 09 $7 −$6 -84%
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9? Jun 09 $23 −$1 -2%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? Jun 09 $0 $0 -4%
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 09 $1 +$1 +76%
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by Jun Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 09 $0 $0 -2%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 09 $76 +$9 +12%
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by Jun Jun 09 $4,883 +$734 +15%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $357 +$40 +11%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $141 +$173 +123%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $575 +$246 +43%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $6,561 +$220 +3%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $2,990 +$1,042 +35%
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $4 −$1 -25%
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Jun 07 $12 −$2 -20%
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Jun 06 $23 −$3 -14%
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? Jun 05 $60 +$64 +106%
FDA approves Vepdegestrant? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 Jun 04 $55 −$11 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 04 $259 −$24 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 04 $246 −$30 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 04 $261 −$24 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 37% −$359
politics 27% +$1,701
world 24% −$74
other 12% +$1,570
sports 0% −$58
economics 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 90¢ $1,418 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 92¢ $2 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 92¢ $1,467 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 78¢ $8 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 78¢ $148 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 78¢ $156 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 80¢ $80 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 85¢ $424 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 85¢ $246 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 79¢ $1,022 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 71¢ $275 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 70¢ $319 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 73¢ $253 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 73¢ $871 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 77¢ $60 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 78¢ $186 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 78¢ $294 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 71¢ $213 8h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 71¢ $280 8h
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? SELL Yes 24¢ $27 10h
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? BUY Yes 23¢ $27 10h
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? SELL Yes 27¢ $40 10h
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? BUY Yes 26¢ $41 10h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 12h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 12h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 12h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 12h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 12h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 12h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -2.4% -11.7% 34% 26% +1.4%
≤30d 120 -11.8% -20.2% 29% 23% -6.2%
≤90d 120 -11.8% -20.2% 29% 23% -6.2%
all 120 -11.8% -20.2% 29% 23% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 23% -6.2%
10% -27.8% 18% -15.2%
15% ← realistic here -34.8% 14% -23.4%
20% -41.2% 12% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2581 history records