Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T00:17:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe6f7…8bf0 crypto 82 markets active 2h ago coverage 23d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$129 (-11%) realized −$129 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate44%36W / 46L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day4.5pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$109
7 days−$225
14 days−$225
30 days−$230
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$225
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -5.8% -14.7% 44% 31% -27.4%
≤30d 82 -6.9% -15.8% 44% 30% -27.7%
≤90d 82 -6.9% -15.8% 44% 30% -27.7%
all 82 -6.9% -15.8% 44% 30% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 30% -27.7%
10% -23.8% 23% -34.6%
15% -31.2% 20% -40.9%
20% -37.9% 13% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 35% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +17% → late -31% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$13 · ×0.77 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses36 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)82 / 82
History coverage23d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 82 Trades
no open positions (44 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $22 −$20 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 22 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 22 $36 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 22 $61 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 22 $31 +$25 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$8 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$21 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 21 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 21 $20 −$19 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 21 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 21 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 21 $21 −$20 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 21 $31 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 21 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 21 $21 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 21 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 21 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 21 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 21 $11 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $11 +$24 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $5 +$78 +1449%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $56 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $11 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $9 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $6 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $11 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 140 history records