Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6f6…f054
other · 16 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses7 / 8
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)15 / 16
History coverage5d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 1 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on June 11? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +94%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$9 -86%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 12 $8 −$5 -66%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 76% −$16
sports 15% +$8
politics 8% −$5
weather 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $1 4m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 97¢ $21 20m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 93¢ $10 28m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $10 29m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 52¢ $11 47m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 36¢ $13 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $12 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $10 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $10 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 13h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 13h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 93¢ $20 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 33h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 62¢ $10 33h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 40h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $10 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 83¢ $20 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 65¢ $4 2d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 3¢ $3 2d
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 9¢ $3 2d
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 8¢ $3 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on June 11? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 7¢ $1 4d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 7¢ $6 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-41.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -35.0% -41.2% 47% 33% -18.5%
≤30d 15 -35.0% -41.2% 47% 33% -18.5%
≤90d 15 -35.0% -41.2% 47% 33% -18.5%
all 15 -35.0% -41.2% 47% 33% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -41.2% 33% -18.5%
10% -46.8% 27% -26.3%
15% -52.0% 13% -33.5%
20% -56.7% 13% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.50 · official $0.50 (match) · 29 history records