Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:20:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6f1…505b
other · 38 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$52 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$72 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized−$72
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses3 / 21
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions11
Markets (closed)24 / 38
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day22.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit24%
Chart Positions 11 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$72
14 days−$72
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Yes 14¢ 13¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia? Yes 15¢ 15¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan? Yes 9¢ 10¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 AND Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 14 $37 −$19 -53%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $4 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $2 +$13 +550%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? Jun 13 $0 $0 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $19 +$21 +109%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $7 +$16 +226%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% −$50
sports 21% −$23
crypto 10% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 50m
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 51m
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 52m
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 54m
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 54m
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 54m
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 BUY 41¢ $10 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 AND Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) BUY 43¢ $18 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 AND Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) SELL 42¢ $17 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 AND Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) BUY 43¢ $18 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $4 13h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 13h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 13h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 13h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $8 16h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 8¢ $7 16h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $7 16h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 19h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 19h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 19h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 19h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $7 19h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $8 25h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 25h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-53.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -48.6% -53.5% 12% 12% -48.2%
≤30d 24 -48.6% -53.5% 12% 12% -48.2%
≤90d 24 -48.6% -53.5% 12% 12% -48.2%
all 24 -48.6% -53.5% 12% 12% -48.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.5% 12% -48.2%
10% ← realistic here -58.0% 12% -53.2%
15% -62.0% 12% -57.7%
20% -65.8% 12% -61.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $68.16 · official $96.16 · 44 history records