Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T07:16:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe6ed…6813 crypto 96 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$131 (+8%) realized +$131 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -31% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -47% what you keep after slip
Net edge-47%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate26%21W / 60L
Drawdown82%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day28.3pace
Fees−$9est.
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 41% −$12
other 32% −$64
sports 27% +$186
politics 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-37.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -30.9% -37.5% 26% 25% -1.9%
≤30d 81 -30.9% -37.5% 26% 25% -1.9%
≤90d 81 -30.9% -37.5% 26% 25% -1.9%
all 81 -30.9% -37.5% 26% 25% -1.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.5% 25% -1.9%
10% ← realistic here -43.5% 21% -11.3%
15% -48.9% 19% -19.9%
20% -53.9% 16% -27.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 54% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -31% · $-wt +8% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -59% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$29 vs −$9 · ×3.44 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.2 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$131
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses21 / 60
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)81 / 96
History coverage5d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day28.3
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 81 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 28 $20 +$8 +37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$3 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $1 +$1 +57%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$16 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $37 −$15 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $32 +$45 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 28 $37 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 28 $63 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 28 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Jun 28 $10 −$6 -58%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 28 $21 −$21 -100%
Colombia leading at halftime? Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal? Jun 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 28 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 28 $21 −$21 -100%
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score AND DR Congo vs. Uzbekist Jun 28 $10 +$54 +544%
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 27 $163 +$201 +123%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 27 $155 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $21 +$133 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $21 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $20 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $16 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $9 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $31 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $35 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 223 history records