Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6e7…9b44
crypto · 2227 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$2,992 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,002 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$182
Realized+$3,002
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses1080 / 522
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1602 / 2227
History coverage14d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day158.7
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1602 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$737
7 days+$944
14 days+$3,002
30 days+$3,002
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 52¢ 74¢ $128 $181 +$53 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 52¢ $64 $1 −$63 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 52¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 48¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 34¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 52¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 48¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 35¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 34¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 47¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 47¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 43¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 49¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 47¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,453
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $132 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $66 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $33 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $17 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1003 +19.0% +7.7% 62% 62% +4.1%
≤30d 1602 +32.0% +19.4% 67% 67% +13.5%
≤90d 1602 +32.0% +19.4% 67% 67% +13.5%
all 1602 +32.0% +19.4% 67% 67% +13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover158.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.4% 67% +13.5%
10% ← realistic here +8.0% 67% +2.7%
15% -2.5% 67% -7.3%
20% -12.0% 65% -16.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $181.54 · official $159.38 · 3500 history records