Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T13:15:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe6e4…ce20 crypto 126 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (1607 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,511 (-3%) realized −$1,412 · open −$99
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate57%71W / 53L
Whale WR69%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$467per market
Trades / day1607.0pace
Fees−$125est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$186now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$5,868
sports 16% −$7,942
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1607 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 +2.1% -7.6% 57% 52% -12.6%
≤30d 124 +2.1% -7.6% 57% 52% -12.6%
≤90d 124 +2.1% -7.6% 57% 52% -12.6%
all 124 +2.1% -7.6% 57% 52% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1607.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 52% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 52% -20.9%
15% -24.5% 45% -28.6%
20% -31.9% 41% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 69% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$320 vs −$466 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$186
Realized−$1,412
Unrealized−$99
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses71 / 53
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$125
Open positions2
Markets (closed)124 / 126
History coverage1d
Avg bet$467
Trades / day1607.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 124 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 48¢ 48¢ $144 $146 +$2 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 47¢ 14¢ $141 $40 −$100 (-71%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 25 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $144 +$156 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $147 +$153 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $138 −$127 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $147 +$153 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $154 +$149 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $73 −$47 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $138 −$133 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $152 −$147 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 23 $144 +$156 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 23 $121 +$126 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 23 $53 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $70 +$16 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 23 $34 +$14 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $152 −$147 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 23 $145 +$155 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $149 −$147 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 23 $184 +$40 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 23 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 23 $287 +$193 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 23 $147 +$153 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 23 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 23 $59 +$34 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 23 $198 +$202 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 23 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $196 +$204 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 23 $135 +$136 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 23 $137 +$94 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 23 $196 +$204 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 23 $108 −$107 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $196 +$204 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 23 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 23 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 23 $147 +$153 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 23 $228 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 23 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 23 $147 +$153 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 23 $70 +$29 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 23 $147 +$153 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 23 $196 +$204 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 23 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 23 $192 +$208 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 23 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 23 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 23 $144 −$144 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $96 +$104 +108%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $144 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $13 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $17 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $30 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $114 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $60 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $19 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $45 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $185.99 · official $353.96 · 1685 history records