Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:00:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6dd…52db
sports · 1880 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$452 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$489 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$30
Realized−$489
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses583 / 1295
Est. fees paid−$126
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1878 / 1880
History coverage176d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 2 History 1878 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$328
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 58¢ 100¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+72%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner T1 36¢ 48¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+32%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 38¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? Yes 26¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 11¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 34¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 23¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 21¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 18¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 54¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? Yes 21¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Deep Cross Gaming $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 16¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 17¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 14¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Team WE 14¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw? Yes 31¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 78¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 10¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming 41¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana LNG Esports 37¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 57¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 64¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 +$13 +129%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$8 +79%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$14 +134%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$15 +150%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $11 +$20 +179%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 +$9 +93%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$24 +139%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$1 +23%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$21 +208%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$2 +48%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$6 +237%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$3 +54%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$34 +665%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$1 +29%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$3 +62%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $21 −$21 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $2 $0 +21%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$131
other 25% −$338
world 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $10 26m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 58¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 34¢ $10 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $10 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 55¢ $10 6h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $10 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 12h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $10 12h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $10 12h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $10 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 30¢ $10 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 76¢ $10 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 39¢ $10 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 37¢ $1 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 35¢ $10 22h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 17¢ $2 23h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 17¢ $10 24h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 36¢ $10 25h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $10 30h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 30h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 37h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $10 37h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 12¢ $10 44h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 60¢ $10 44h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 22¢ $10 45h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $7 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $10 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 28¢ $10 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 55¢ $10 47h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -3.8% -13.0% 41% 41% -17.4%
≤30d 217 -16.8% -24.8% 35% 34% -25.4%
≤90d 880 -20.8% -28.4% 28% 28% -27.7%
all 1878 -1.4% -10.8% 31% 31% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 31% -12.0%
10% -19.4% 30% -20.5%
15% -27.2% 29% -28.1%
20% -34.3% 27% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.43 · official $30.43 (match) · 3466 history records