trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 84¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $13 | $13 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $12 | $12 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings | Punjab Kings | 44¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders | Kolkata Knight Riders | 36¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $17 | +$8 | +44% |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal | Jun 11 | $120 | +$4 | +3% |
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru | May 17 | $26 | −$15 | -57% |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans | May 16 | $26 | −$19 | -73% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? | May 13 | $74 | +$81 | +109% |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings | May 06 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders | Apr 14 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Feb 21 | $1,050 | +$1,029 | +98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +23.3% | +11.6% | 100% | 50% | -2.1% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -21.0% | -28.5% | 50% | 25% | -20.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -25.0% | -32.1% | 43% | 29% | -4.2% |
| all | 8 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 50% | 38% | +60.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.2% | 38% | +60.4% |
| 10% | -26.0% | 38% | +45.1% |
| 15% | -33.2% | 38% | +31.0% |
| 20% | -39.7% | 25% | +18.2% |