Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6d2…8bec
crypto · 598 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$296 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$282 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$454
Realized−$282
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses396 / 491
Open positions7
Markets (closed)887 / 598
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day3079.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 887 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$282
7 days−$282
14 days−$282
30 days−$282
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 42¢ $2 $48 +$46 (+2021%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 81¢ 84¢ $40 $42 +$2 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $38 $38 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 76¢ 76¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 44¢ $2 $30 +$28 (+1177%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 42¢ $2 $28 +$25 (+1021%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 72¢ $4 $27 +$24 (+671%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 24¢ 100¢ $7 $27 +$20 (+315%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 81¢ 58¢ $31 $22 −$9 (-28%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $7 $21 +$14 (+214%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 17¢ 100¢ $2 $13 +$11 (+482%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+194%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 97¢ 58¢ $13 $8 −$5 (-40%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 25¢ 38¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+49%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 96¢ 28¢ $11 $3 −$7 (-70%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+108%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 97¢ 62¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-36%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 22¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+355%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+138%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+147%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+57%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$21 +324%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$14 +214%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$11 +482%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +194%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +246%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -63%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$9 +2167%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +2066%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +326%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +2917%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +330%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$11 +5232%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +705%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$8 +2291%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +352%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -92%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +320%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1996%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +3600%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1418%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$11 -150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +2120%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +491%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +1302%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +1582%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +784%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$373
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $21 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $24 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $16 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $12 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+143.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 887 +169.3% +143.7% 45% 33% -12.1%
≤30d 887 +169.3% +143.7% 45% 33% -12.1%
≤90d 887 +169.3% +143.7% 45% 33% -12.1%
all 887 +169.3% +143.7% 45% 33% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3079.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +143.7% 33% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here +120.4% 26% -20.5%
15% +99.1% 23% -28.2%
20% +79.6% 22% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $454.19 · official $361.73 · 3500 history records