trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +62.0% | +46.6% | 100% | 100% | +46.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +13.9% | +3.1% | 75% | 75% | +14.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 73% | 47% | -24.1% |
| all | 20 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 75% | 35% | -23.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.9% | 35% | -23.2% |
| 10% | -28.5% | 20% | -30.5% |
| 15% | -35.4% | 15% | -37.2% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 10% | -43.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Australia | 66¢ | 66¢ | $81 | $81 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 10 | $83 | +$51 | +62% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees | Jun 04 | $106 | +$63 | +60% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev | May 29 | $55 | +$19 | +34% |
| Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | May 23 | $56 | −$55 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | May 13 | $71 | +$26 | +36% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | May 04 | $46 | −$46 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 30 | $49 | −$48 | -99% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Apr 30 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 30 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Apr 30 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in Febru | Apr 30 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Apr 30 | $11 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)? | Apr 30 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19? | Apr 30 | $65 | +$5 | +8% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $144 | −$141 | -98% |
| Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 04 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of January? | Feb 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 04 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? | Jan 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026?? | Jan 10 | $19 | $0 | +0% |