Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:43:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6aa…77e4
crypto · 29 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$42 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$41
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses15 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)25 / 29
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 4 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$33
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 82¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 62¢ 41¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-34%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 05 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 05 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$6 +63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$41
other 4% $0
sports 3% $0
politics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the BUY Yes 62¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -41.5% -47.1% 36% 36% -63.2%
≤30d 25 -10.7% -19.2% 60% 48% -31.9%
≤90d 25 -10.7% -19.2% 60% 48% -31.9%
all 25 -10.7% -19.2% 60% 48% -31.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.2% 48% -31.9%
10% -26.9% 32% -38.4%
15% -34.0% 32% -44.4%
20% -40.4% 32% -49.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.31 · official $13.31 (match) · 73 history records