Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:02:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6a5…e95d
sports · 1064 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,297 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,259 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$345
Realized−$3,259
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses482 / 578
Est. fees paid−$1,389
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1060 / 1064
History coverage28d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day95.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 4 History 1060 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$898
7 days−$285
14 days−$1,224
30 days−$3,259
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 38¢ 66¢ $100 $175 +$75 (+75%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Dallas Wings 67¢ 58¢ $100 $87 −$13 (-13%)
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Knicks 58¢ 57¢ $83 $83 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $101 +$26 +26%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $101 +$80 +79%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $168 +$36 +21%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $202 −$109 -54%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $97 +$175 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$347 +405%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $102 −$5 -4%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $114 +$77 +67%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $101 +$44 +43%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $199 +$80 +40%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $100 +$13 +13%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $82 −$47 -57%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu Jun 13 $91 −$6 -7%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $102 +$192 +188%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $101 −$100 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $204 −$204 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $102 +$126 +124%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $91 +$19 +21%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $101 +$94 +93%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$56 +55%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $102 +$191 +188%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$111 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $102 +$117 +115%
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $101 +$80 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$44 +208%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $94 −$94 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$2,709
crypto 13% −$1,279
other 9% +$625
world 0% +$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 67¢ $101 15m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun SELL Indiana Fever 100¢ $126 28m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Knicks 58¢ $85 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 38¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 100¢ $181 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 55¢ $101 2h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 47¢ $70 3h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 79¢ $101 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $101 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $67 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 36¢ $102 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $433 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $86 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 8h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 31¢ $93 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 45¢ $97 8h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 32¢ $100 8h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 35¢ $97 8h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 61¢ $97 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $32 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 46¢ $102 9h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $101 9h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 100¢ $190 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $101 9h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $145 9h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 66¢ $100 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $101 10h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $201 10h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 59¢ $48 11h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 59¢ $66 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 220 -1.6% -11.0% 48% 47% -10.6%
≤30d 1060 -3.2% -12.4% 45% 45% -12.2%
≤90d 1060 -3.2% -12.4% 45% 45% -12.2%
all 1060 -3.2% -12.4% 45% 45% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 45% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 44% -20.6%
15% -28.5% 40% -28.3%
20% -35.5% 34% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $345.18 · official $345.18 (match) · 3500 history records