Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:35:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe69d…dfa0
sports · 21 markets active 0h ago
6.5score
+$3,695 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,320 · open −$172
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$3,034
Realized+$3,320
Unrealized−$172
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses10 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$311
Open positions4
Markets (closed)17 / 21
History coverage3d
Avg bet$803
Trades / day22.3
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 4 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,494
7 days+$3,320
14 days+$3,320
30 days+$3,320
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 Over 51¢ 55¢ $874 $937 +$63 (+7%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 55¢ 55¢ $600 $595 −$5 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 57¢ 50¢ $600 $532 −$68 (-11%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 44¢ $600 $513 −$87 (-14%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 65¢ 50¢ $600 $457 −$143 (-24%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 35¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 14 $950 −$27 -3%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $614 −$43 -7%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $612 +$558 +91%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $410 −$206 -50%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $62 −$23 -37%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,873 −$323 -11%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $608 +$224 +37%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $609 +$261 +43%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $812 +$395 +49%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $613 +$240 +39%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $611 +$437 +72%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $606 +$112 +19%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $615 +$1,068 +174%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $615 −$217 -35%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,221 −$57 -5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $609 +$320 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $614 +$599 +98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$3,170
other 0% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 65¢ $609 7m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) SELL Vitality 99¢ $345 33m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 52¢ $612 34m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 57¢ $611 35m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) SELL Vitality 65¢ $224 57m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) SELL Vitality 42¢ $354 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 55¢ $611 2h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Vitality 58¢ $611 2h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Vitality 64¢ $339 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 22¢ $111 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 29¢ $149 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 56¢ $312 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $1,169 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 37¢ $614 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 51¢ $612 5h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 SELL Over 50¢ $454 6h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 BUY Over 51¢ $196 7h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 BUY Over 51¢ $564 7h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 BUY Over 51¢ $612 7h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 34¢ $189 8h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 35¢ $410 8h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $39 18h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 41¢ $10 19h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $51 19h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 50¢ $69 19h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 79¢ $112 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 76¢ $937 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 76¢ $225 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 76¢ $101 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 75¢ $202 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +27.9% +15.7% 59% 59% +13.9%
≤30d 17 +27.9% +15.7% 59% 59% +13.9%
≤90d 17 +27.9% +15.7% 59% 59% +13.9%
all 17 +27.9% +15.7% 59% 59% +13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.7% 59% +13.9%
10% +4.7% 53% +3.0%
15% ← realistic here -5.4% 53% -7.0%
20% -14.7% 29% -16.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,033.86 · official $3,033.86 (match) · 70 history records