Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:32:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe67f…811f
world · 35 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses8 / 26
Open positions1
Markets (closed)34 / 35
History coverage262d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 1 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? No 16¢ 21¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+31%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $52 $0 -1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 12 $33 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 12 $9 −$3 -32%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 12 $31 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 10 $28 $0 +0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 10 $28 $0 +0%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 09 $6 $0 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 08 $1 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 08 $28 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 07 $32 −$1 -2%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $60 $0 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 06 $28 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025 Oct 19 $27 +$1 +2%
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? Oct 19 $27 $0 -1%
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 09 $27 $0 +0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 09 $27 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? Oct 08 $27 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 07 $27 $0 +0%
Trump out as President in 2025? Oct 07 $27 $0 +0%
Will Mediterranean Sea Rescue organizations win the Nobel Peace Prize Oct 07 $28 $0 -0%
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? Oct 06 $27 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Oct 06 $27 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $4.00 in September? Oct 06 $24 $0 +0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 05 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 05 $6 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October? Oct 05 $6 $0 +0%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Oct 04 $6 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 02 $6 $0 -0%
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025? Oct 01 $3 +$1 +20%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? Sep 30 $26 $0 +0%
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Sep 30 $27 $0 -0%
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? Sep 25 $26 $0 +0%
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by less than 30%? Sep 25 $1 $0 -23%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 25 $26 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 40% −$2
other 23% +$1
politics 15% $0
sports 12% $0
crypto 7% $0
culture 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 16¢ $6 1h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 85¢ $25 6h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 85¢ $25 9h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 85¢ $27 11h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $28 14h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $5 21h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 17¢ $6 22h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 25¢ $9 26h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 91¢ $24 29h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 91¢ $7 29h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 91¢ $31 30h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 94¢ $28 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 94¢ $28 2d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $28 3d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 93¢ $28 3d
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? SELL No 80¢ $6 3d
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? SELL No 80¢ $22 3d
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY No 80¢ $28 3d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 74¢ $6 3d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 74¢ $6 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 5d
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 5d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL No 54¢ $28 5d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY No 54¢ $28 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 79¢ $8 6d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 79¢ $23 6d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 81¢ $32 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $10 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $19 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -3.2% -12.4% 0% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 12 -2.9% -12.2% 8% 0% -10.6%
≤90d 12 -2.9% -12.2% 8% 0% -10.6%
all 34 -1.1% -10.5% 24% 3% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 3% -9.9%
10% -19.1% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.9% 0% -26.4%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.98 · official $7.98 (match) · 94 history records