Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T15:58:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe670…6502 sports 4 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate33%1W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day9.5pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -7.4% -16.2% 33% 0% -13.2%
≤30d 3 -7.4% -16.2% 33% 0% -13.2%
≤90d 3 -7.4% -16.2% 33% 0% -13.2%
all 3 -7.4% -16.2% 33% 0% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 0% -13.2%
10% -24.2% 0% -21.5%
15% -31.5% 0% -29.1%
20% -38.2% 0% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.09 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 3 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Juan Manuel Cerundolo 67¢ 18¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-72%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Johannus Monday vs Tristan Schoolkate Jun 22 $27 $0 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Kyrian Jacquet Jun 22 $30 −$2 -8%
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarro Jun 21 $1 $0 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo SELL Juan Manuel Cerundolo 98¢ $14 21m
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo BUY Juan Manuel Cerundolo 67¢ $10 21m
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo SELL Raphael Collignon 74¢ $21 27m
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo BUY Raphael Collignon 71¢ $20 33m
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Johannus Monday vs Tristan Schoolkate SELL Tristan Schoolkate 100¢ $27 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Johannus Monday vs Tristan Schoolkate BUY Tristan Schoolkate 99¢ $27 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Kyrian Jacquet SELL Kyrian Jacquet 88¢ $1 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Kyrian Jacquet SELL Kyrian Jacquet 90¢ $27 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Kyrian Jacquet BUY Kyrian Jacquet 97¢ $30 2h
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarro SELL Emma Navarro 50¢ $1 28h
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarro BUY Emma Navarro 56¢ $1 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.16 · official $0.00 (match) · 11 history records