trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 18 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,193 | $1,192 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026? | Jun 26 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 26 | $1,215 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 26 | $1,167 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 25 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 25 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Jun 25 | $1,197 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 25 | $1,255 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats | Apr 17 | $12 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Apr 17 | $208 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Seri | Apr 17 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Apr 16 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 16 | $203 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | Mar 30 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi | Mar 30 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | Mar 25 | $163 | $0 | -0% |
| Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31? | Mar 25 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 25 | $26 | $0 | -0% |