Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T12:34:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
E6 0xe660…de2d sports 8 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! high turnover
Total PnL +$26 (+15%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +7% what you keep after slip
Net edge+7%after slip
Net WR83%break-even
Win rate100%6W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day10.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$30now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 66% +$23
other 28% +$8
crypto 6% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +83%
net ROI/market (all)+16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +28.5% +16.2% 100% 83% +11.7%
≤30d 6 +28.5% +16.2% 100% 83% +11.7%
≤90d 6 +28.5% +16.2% 100% 83% +11.7%
all 6 +28.5% +16.2% 100% 83% +11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +16.2% 83% +11.7%
10% +5.1% 50% +1.0%
15% -5.1% 33% -8.8%
20% -14.4% 17% -17.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 48% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +23% too few recent
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +28% · $-wt +23% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$30
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses6 / 0
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 6 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? Yes 86¢ 86¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +7%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $17 +$8 +48%
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 AND Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5 Jun 23 $10 +$7 +65%
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm Jun 23 $30 +$7 +24%
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5 Jun 23 $40 +$6 +14%
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5 Jun 22 $30 +$4 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 86¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 67¢ $17 9h
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm BUY Dallas Wings 80¢ $30 10h
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5 BUY Over 87¢ $40 15h
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $34 17h
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 88¢ $30 25h
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 0.5 AND Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Nethe BUY 6¢ $2 25h
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 AND Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5 BUY 60¢ $10 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.83 · official $31.83 · 17 history records