Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:21:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe660…f522
crypto · 51 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
−$1,884 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,859 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$586
Realized−$1,859
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses22 / 24
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions5
Markets (closed)46 / 51
History coverage103d
Avg bet$173
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 5 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 20¢ 19¢ $200 $193 −$7 (-4%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 51¢ 50¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Team to Take First Corner Qatar 31¢ 30¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $442 $0 −$442 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $483 $0 −$483 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $483 $0 −$483 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Apr 22 $462 −$442 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Apr 22 $500 −$483 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Apr 22 $500 −$483 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Apr 21 $56 +$194 +345%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Apr 21 $250 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Apr 21 $281 −$281 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Apr 21 $600 −$600 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Apr 21 $60 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Apr 21 $800 −$800 -100%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $120 +$21 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 21 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Apr 21 $400 +$440 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Apr 21 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Apr 21 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Apr 21 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Apr 21 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Apr 21 $400 +$363 +91%
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) Apr 21 $50 +$50 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Apr 21 $100 +$89 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Apr 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Apr 21 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Apr 21 $500 +$425 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Apr 21 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Apr 21 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Apr 21 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Apr 21 $100 +$227 +227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Apr 21 $200 +$150 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Apr 21 $50 +$30 +59%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Apr 20 $100 +$90 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Apr 19 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Apr 19 $200 +$167 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Apr 19 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (April 19) Apr 18 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Apr 17 $100 +$87 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Apr 17 $50 +$46 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Apr 16 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Apr 16 $300 +$247 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Apr 16 $100 +$87 +87%
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? Apr 10 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Apr 10 $10 −$10 -100%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? Apr 10 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Apr 09 $50 +$45 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Apr 01 $30 +$29 +98%
Will Trump visit China by March 31? Apr 01 $100 +$148 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Apr 01 $20 +$12 +62%
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? Mar 07 $100 +$60 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$2,129
sports 8% +$126
other 4% +$18
world 2% +$10
politics 1% +$151
tech 1% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $102 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Team to Take First Corner BUY Qatar 31¢ $102 1h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 20¢ $205 1h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 51¢ $101 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $462 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $500 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $500 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $250 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $250 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $56 53d
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) SELL Trail Blazers 50¢ $10 53d
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) SELL Spurs 49¢ $47 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $281 53d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 16¢ $89 53d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $141 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $132 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $668 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $600 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $364 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $36 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $763 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $210 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $400 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $200 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $100 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $60 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $30 53d
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) BUY Spurs 51¢ $50 53d
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) BUY Trail Blazers 50¢ $10 53d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 45 -3.5% -12.7% 47% 47% -31.3%
all 46 -2.1% -11.4% 48% 48% -30.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 48% -30.4%
10% -19.9% 46% -37.0%
15% -27.6% 43% -43.1%
20% -34.7% 43% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $585.81 · official $585.81 (match) · 156 history records