Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:17:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe657…8b2d
crypto · 28 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$97 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$97 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$97
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses23 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$97
7 days+$97
14 days+$97
30 days+$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$25 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$26 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $95 +$6 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +7.9% -2.4% 82% 64% +0.9%
≤30d 28 +7.9% -2.4% 82% 64% +0.9%
≤90d 28 +7.9% -2.4% 82% 64% +0.9%
all 28 +7.9% -2.4% 82% 64% +0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.4% 64% +0.9%
10% ← realistic here -11.7% 29% -8.8%
15% -20.2% 21% -17.6%
20% -28.0% 11% -25.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 63 history records