trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $507 | $564 | +$57 (+11%) |
| Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5 | Under | 50¢ | 0¢ | $5,000 | $0 | −$5,000 (-100%) |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) | Colts | 48¢ | 0¢ | $960 | $0 | −$960 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Kings | 68¢ | 0¢ | $5,529 | $0 | −$5,529 (-100%) |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5 | Over | 48¢ | 0¢ | $33,600 | $0 | −$33,600 (-100%) |
| Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 74¢ | 0¢ | $423 | $0 | −$423 (-100%) |
| Clippers vs. Pistons | Pistons | 60¢ | 0¢ | $11,184 | $0 | −$11,184 (-100%) |
| Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 | Over | 48¢ | 0¢ | $2,544 | $0 | −$2,544 (-100%) |
| Bulls vs. Hawks | Hawks | 78¢ | 0¢ | $39,000 | $0 | −$39,000 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 66¢ | 0¢ | $7,993 | $0 | −$7,993 (-100%) |
| Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5 | Under | 52¢ | 0¢ | $6,240 | $0 | −$6,240 (-100%) |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Spurs | 71¢ | 0¢ | $21,300 | $0 | −$21,300 (-100%) |
| Warriors vs. Heat | Warriors | 19¢ | 0¢ | $3,800 | $0 | −$3,800 (-100%) |
| Bulls vs. Hawks | Hawks | 60¢ | 0¢ | $2,400 | $0 | −$2,400 (-100%) |
| Rams vs. Bears | Bears | 45¢ | 0¢ | $5,400 | $0 | −$5,400 (-100%) |
| Wizards vs. Nuggets | Wizards | 57¢ | 0¢ | $11,804 | $0 | −$11,804 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Jazz | Jazz | 21¢ | 0¢ | $6,300 | $0 | −$6,300 (-100%) |
| North Carolina State vs. Duke | North Carolina State | 14¢ | 0¢ | $1,053 | $0 | −$1,053 (-100%) |
| Magic vs. Rockets | Magic | 65¢ | 0¢ | $9,841 | $0 | −$9,841 (-100%) |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-22? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $1,200 | $0 | −$1,200 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 83¢ | 0¢ | $2,463 | $0 | −$2,463 (-100%) |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | $227 | $0 | −$227 (-100%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $30,070 | $0 | −$30,070 (-100%) |
| Nuggets vs. Hornets | Hornets | 11¢ | 0¢ | $2,583 | $0 | −$2,583 (-100%) |
| Hawks vs. Jazz | Jazz | 47¢ | 0¢ | $16,530 | $0 | −$16,530 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5 | Jun 12 | $5,000 | −$5,000 | -100% |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) | Jun 12 | $960 | −$960 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Jun 12 | $5,529 | −$5,529 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Pistons | Jun 12 | $11,184 | −$11,184 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Hawks | Jun 12 | $39,000 | −$39,000 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Spurs | Jun 12 | $7,993 | −$7,993 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5 | Jun 12 | $6,240 | −$6,240 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Jun 12 | $21,300 | −$21,300 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Heat | Jun 12 | $3,800 | −$3,800 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Hawks | Jun 12 | $2,400 | −$2,400 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jun 12 | $5,400 | −$5,400 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Nuggets | Jun 12 | $11,804 | −$11,804 | -100% |
| North Carolina State vs. Duke | Jun 12 | $1,053 | −$1,053 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Rockets | Jun 12 | $9,841 | −$9,841 | -100% |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-22? | Jun 12 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies | Jun 12 | $2,463 | −$2,463 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05? | Jun 12 | $227 | −$227 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Hornets | Jun 12 | $2,583 | −$2,583 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Jazz | Jun 12 | $16,530 | −$16,530 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Kraken | Jun 12 | $7,859 | −$7,859 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Kings | Jun 12 | $5,381 | −$5,381 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. 76ers | Jun 12 | $1,514 | −$1,514 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves | Jun 12 | $88 | −$88 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pistons | Jun 12 | $357 | −$357 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Lakers | Jun 12 | $49,380 | −$49,380 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Falcons | Jun 12 | $17,063 | −$17,063 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Jun 12 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Utah State vs. Hawaii | Jun 12 | $15,965 | −$15,965 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Chiefs | Jun 12 | $5,939 | −$5,939 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5 | Jun 12 | $6,360 | −$6,360 | -100% |
| DET vs. BAL: O/U 64.5 | Jun 12 | $2,500 | −$2,500 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 | Jun 12 | $4,999 | −$4,999 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Raptors | Jun 12 | $2,321 | −$2,321 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pelicans | Jun 12 | $304 | −$304 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5 | Jun 12 | $2,881 | −$2,881 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 | Jun 12 | $10,600 | −$10,600 | -100% |
| Ole Miss vs. Georgia | Jun 12 | $32,000 | −$32,000 | -100% |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5) | Jun 12 | $20,427 | −$20,427 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Jun 12 | $460 | −$460 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Wizards | Jun 12 | $4,207 | −$4,207 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Warriors | Jun 12 | $39,000 | −$39,000 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 12 | $2,636 | −$2,636 | -100% |
| DET vs. BAL: O/U 66.5 | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Heat | Jun 12 | $537 | −$537 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Nets | Jun 12 | $16,800 | −$16,800 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Heat | Jun 12 | $4,603 | −$4,603 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Rockets | Jun 12 | $22,800 | −$22,800 | -100% |
| Jaguars vs. Bengals | Jun 12 | $815 | −$815 | -100% |
| DET vs. BAL: O/U 62.5 | Jun 12 | $2,500 | −$2,500 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | Jun 12 | $9,799 | −$9,799 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 59 | -94.1% | -94.7% | 3% | 3% | -88.7% |
| ≤30d | 62 | -88.9% | -89.9% | 8% | 5% | -73.6% |
| ≤90d | 117 | -42.8% | -48.3% | 41% | 32% | -32.9% |
| all | 163 | -28.4% | -35.3% | 47% | 37% | -23.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -35.3% | 37% | -23.7% |
| 10% | -41.4% | 28% | -31.0% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -47.1% | 21% | -37.6% |
| 20% | -52.3% | 15% | -43.8% |